Tuesday, January 6, 2015 Bayesian conjugate contour dlm Kalman lattice R Kalman filter example visualised with R At the last Cologne R user meeting Holger Zien gave a great introduction to dynamic linear models (dlm). One special case of a dlm is the ...
Monday, November 24, 2014 Bayesian conjugate R How cold is it? A Bayesian attempt to measure temperature It is getting colder in London, yet it is still quite mild considering that it is late November. Well, indoors it still feels like 20°C (68°...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014 Bayesian binom.test conjugate R Binomial testing with buttered toast Rasmus' post of last week on binomial testing made me think about p-values and testing again. In my head I was tossing coins, thinking ...
Monday, November 25, 2013 Actuarial Bayesian conjugate credibility Insurance R Not only verbs but also believes can be conjugated Following on from last week, where I presented a simple example of a Bayesian network with discrete probabilities to predict the number of ...